Taiga Building Products
Following on from our analysis of Avarga, we dive into its main subsidiary, which is listed in Canada – Taiga Building Products (‘Taiga’).
Since Taiga is Avarga’s dominant asset, most of the economic analysis is
redundant – except for some additional information below.
Taiga is the largest independent wholesale distributor of building
products in Canada (comprising 78% of sales). In addition, it sells to the US
and parts of Asia.
Its inventories comprise lumber products (70%), allied building products
(18%), panel products (11%) and production consumables.
The company recently reported losses for the quarter ending September
(which wasn’t available for Avarga) – this seems primarily due to rapidly
falling prices of lumber, set against relatively higher inventory costs
accumulated earlier in the year.
It also has sales and earnings information stretching further back as Avarga
acquired majority control of Taiga only in 2017. Average earnings range between CA $40m and $55m.
The latest balance sheet is strong with net cash of $37m, which included
paydowns of the revolving credit facility in the previous quarter.
The equity is currently selling for $243m, which is about 5x average earnings (at the midpoint of the range).
Industry figures for 2021 indicate higher forecasts for housing starts
in Canada and the US compared to 2020. Considering the basic demand for the
industry, and the company's prominent position in it (backed up by excellent
returns on tangible assets), the stock appears to represent sufficient value
for money. Looking back at historic valuations, the market currently values
Taiga at a much lower multiple of earnings and tangible assets than in the
recent past.
Taiga’s management doesn’t have an explicit dividend policy – and doesn’t
pay regular dividends though it issued a special dividend of $30m earlier this
year due to its bumper profits. They have engaged in some buybacks at
$2.54/share – though these were meager at <$1m outlay.
The investor could get practically the same economic exposure with Avarga
– though the capital structure and dividend policy differ – or take complimentary
exposures in both stocks.